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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+3.00vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+3.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.03+2.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.18vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+0.26vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.09vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.05vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.59Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.26Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 17.4% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.0% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 7.9% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 27.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.