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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.99vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.94vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+1.31vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.03+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.34vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-1.62vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.06vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.15George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.31Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.42Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.38Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% |
| Riley Legault | 13.3% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 18.2% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 16.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.