Race 11A

top-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Riley Legault 18.5% 14.8% 13.5% 14.1% 11.0% 9.6% 8.3% 7.7% 2.5%
Olivia de Olazarra 14.1% 17.3% 15.9% 12.4% 12.8% 8.6% 9.2% 6.5% 3.2%
Olivia Windemuller 7.9% 9.4% 10.2% 10.2% 10.0% 12.6% 12.6% 13.6% 13.5%
Sebby Turner 8.8% 9.3% 10.9% 9.8% 11.4% 13.3% 10.1% 13.1% 13.3%
Ava Esquier 13.0% 15.0% 12.7% 11.0% 11.0% 10.2% 10.1% 9.1% 7.9%
Katherine Cox 11.1% 10.3% 11.8% 11.0% 13.0% 12.5% 12.4% 9.5% 8.4%
Ellie Ungar 10.8% 10.1% 10.1% 13.0% 12.3% 12.4% 11.0% 11.6% 8.7%
Macey McCann 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 10.5% 10.4% 10.7% 12.4% 13.8% 16.7%
Charlotte Leclue 6.7% 5.9% 6.4% 8.0% 8.1% 10.1% 13.9% 15.1% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.