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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+3.01vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.22vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.18vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+0.18vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.32vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-1.79vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.04-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.46Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.55Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.3% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 26.7% |
| Macey McCann | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.