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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+4.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.15vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.53vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.93vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+1.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.25-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.28vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-3.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.15U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.53Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.09Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.13Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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4.03George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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4.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 26.7% |
| Marley Mais | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.7% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Riley Legault | 17.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.