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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Timothy Dolan 3.3% 3.9% 5.1% 4.7% 7.9% 9.2% 9.8% 14.8% 16.7% 14.0% 7.4% 2.7% 0.4%
Milo Miller 27.8% 21.6% 17.4% 14.1% 8.6% 5.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Justin 12.7% 15.3% 14.9% 14.2% 13.3% 11.5% 8.6% 5.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
David Webb 12.3% 15.6% 14.1% 14.0% 14.3% 11.7% 7.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Sexton 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 9.9% 10.8% 13.2% 14.1% 13.0% 9.0% 5.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Kallista Halatsis 4.2% 4.7% 6.2% 7.2% 8.7% 11.3% 14.6% 14.2% 11.8% 9.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.7%
Sara Menesale 18.3% 17.5% 17.2% 15.4% 12.6% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlie Eckert 9.3% 8.8% 10.2% 11.2% 12.0% 13.2% 13.2% 10.5% 7.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Adrien Barnes 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 6.9% 10.3% 13.7% 16.8% 18.1% 12.3% 4.3%
Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.2% 6.4% 10.2% 13.9% 16.9% 18.6% 13.6% 4.2%
Charles Palmer 1.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.9% 3.5% 5.1% 5.2% 10.0% 14.3% 21.3% 21.6% 11.4%
John Beacham 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 2.8% 3.4% 4.3% 7.1% 13.1% 17.9% 28.7% 17.4%
Mary Elliot 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 4.8% 7.8% 17.8% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.