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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University-1.83+6.37vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.95+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.50+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.21+0.25vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.61+0.91vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-1.00+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-3.38vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.20-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-1.99-0.01vs Predicted
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10Davidson College-1.97-0.91vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University-2.44-1.01vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-2.74-1.45vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.76-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Embry-Riddle University-1.833.3%1st Place
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2.93Rollins College0.9527.8%1st Place
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4.21University of South Florida0.5012.7%1st Place
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4.25University of Miami0.2112.3%1st Place
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5.91Rollins College-0.616.6%1st Place
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6.76Florida State University-1.004.2%1st Place
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3.62University of South Florida0.4518.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Central Florida-0.209.3%1st Place
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8.99University of Central Florida-1.991.6%1st Place
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9.09Davidson College-1.971.5%1st Place
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9.99Wake Forest University-2.441.3%1st Place
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10.55Florida Institute of Technology-2.741.1%1st Place
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12.02College of Coastal Georgia-3.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Dolan | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Milo Miller | 27.8% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 12.7% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 12.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sara Menesale | 18.3% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Barnes | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 4.2% |
| Charles Palmer | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 11.4% |
| John Beacham | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 28.7% | 17.4% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 17.8% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.