Race 4A

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Helaine Meyer 9.7% 12.5% 13.8% 14.0% 15.7% 14.3% 10.9% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Erik Verlage 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 4.3% 6.7% 9.1% 12.3% 16.7% 18.0% 16.0% 8.0%
Benjmain Berg 25.0% 22.8% 18.9% 14.1% 8.4% 6.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Tucker Adams 23.1% 20.4% 16.9% 16.7% 9.1% 8.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Pollick 7.0% 8.3% 8.9% 9.3% 11.2% 13.4% 17.0% 11.9% 8.5% 4.2% 0.3%
Oliver Jennings 12.0% 13.4% 12.2% 14.7% 16.7% 11.0% 8.0% 6.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Estelle Beguin 5.8% 4.1% 6.7% 6.5% 10.3% 11.8% 14.9% 17.2% 13.3% 6.9% 2.5%
Sara Makaretz 11.1% 10.9% 14.8% 14.1% 13.3% 11.5% 11.3% 8.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Philip Driscoll 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 3.9% 5.2% 8.5% 15.1% 23.6% 35.8%
Katelyn Guerrera 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 3.6% 5.8% 7.7% 10.9% 17.7% 24.0% 22.8%
Molly Hermann 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 4.6% 6.6% 10.2% 17.4% 22.5% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.