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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.21+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.20+3.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.50+1.02vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95-1.08vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-1.00+1.99vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-1.99+2.09vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-4.35vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.61-2.98vs Predicted
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10Davidson College-1.97-0.93vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-2.74-0.49vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University-2.44-2.02vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.76-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Miami0.2114.2%1st Place
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5.45University of Central Florida-0.208.1%1st Place
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4.02University of South Florida0.5014.8%1st Place
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2.92Rollins College0.9526.3%1st Place
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6.99Florida State University-1.004.0%1st Place
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7.27Embry-Riddle University-1.833.9%1st Place
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9.09University of Central Florida-1.991.8%1st Place
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3.65University of South Florida0.4517.8%1st Place
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6.02Rollins College-0.616.0%1st Place
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9.07Davidson College-1.971.5%1st Place
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10.51Florida Institute of Technology-2.740.3%1st Place
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9.98Wake Forest University-2.440.9%1st Place
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11.91College of Coastal Georgia-3.760.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Webb | 14.2% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 26.3% | 23.2% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Dolan | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Adrien Barnes | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 13.0% | 4.7% |
| Sara Menesale | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 4.6% |
| John Beacham | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 28.4% | 17.2% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 23.0% | 10.4% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 15.8% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.