Race 5A

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Oliver Jennings 9.9% 12.7% 13.6% 16.0% 14.4% 14.2% 9.9% 5.9% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Benjmain Berg 27.2% 23.9% 17.6% 13.8% 9.0% 4.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Helaine Meyer 10.8% 12.8% 13.2% 12.9% 16.4% 12.1% 10.9% 7.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Tucker Adams 23.0% 20.5% 18.8% 14.0% 10.6% 6.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Erik Verlage 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 4.5% 5.2% 10.3% 10.4% 17.1% 17.8% 15.5% 9.0%
Sara Makaretz 10.7% 10.9% 13.3% 13.7% 13.9% 12.3% 11.5% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Estelle Beguin 5.0% 4.7% 6.1% 7.8% 9.5% 12.5% 15.3% 15.2% 13.3% 7.8% 2.8%
Philip Driscoll 1.2% 1.4% 0.4% 2.1% 2.3% 4.2% 5.2% 11.8% 14.1% 23.1% 34.2%
Sarah Pollick 6.8% 6.5% 9.8% 10.2% 10.9% 14.7% 15.7% 11.1% 9.1% 4.0% 1.2%
Katelyn Guerrera 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 3.1% 4.2% 4.0% 7.4% 13.0% 17.5% 22.8% 23.1%
Molly Hermann 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 3.6% 4.3% 6.5% 8.7% 17.8% 23.8% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.