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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.50+2.85vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.89-0.48vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.55-0.39vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.13-0.88vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.92-0.62vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Hamilton College-0.500.1%1st Place
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1.52Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.61McGill University0.550.2%1st Place
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3.12Queen's University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.38Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.53Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Reynolds | 5.7% | 10.2% | 20.6% | 28.7% | 26.5% | 8.3% |
| Scott Gittens | 62.8% | 26.2% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 18.6% | 31.2% | 27.3% | 17.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.5% | 23.3% | 29.3% | 23.3% | 13.0% | 1.6% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.6% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 22.1% | 38.2% | 17.5% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 16.8% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.