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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.52vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.55-0.38vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.13-2.91vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-0.50-3.15vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.92-3.62vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.62McGill University0.550.2%1st Place
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3.09Queen's University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.85Hamilton College-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.38Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.55Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 62.5% | 25.8% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Wittmann | 17.7% | 32.8% | 27.9% | 14.2% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.5% | 21.1% | 28.3% | 26.4% | 11.3% | 1.4% |
| James Reynolds | 5.0% | 10.8% | 20.6% | 28.3% | 28.8% | 6.5% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 22.6% | 38.2% | 17.2% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 14.8% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.