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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.50vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.13+0.99vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-1.17+1.32vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.55-1.44vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.92-2.81vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.99Queen's University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.32Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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2.56McGill University0.550.2%1st Place
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4.19Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.43Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 63.7% | 25.4% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.1% | 24.5% | 31.6% | 21.2% | 10.0% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Baum | 4.0% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 25.4% | 35.5% | 16.8% |
| John Wittmann | 18.0% | 32.0% | 31.2% | 14.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 28.3% | 31.4% | 14.3% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.