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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University0.55+1.57vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.89-1.54vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.92-0.91vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.17-1.60vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-2.54vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.13-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57McGill University0.550.2%1st Place
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1.46Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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4.09Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.4Hamilton College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.46Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
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3.01Queen's University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wittmann | 17.6% | 33.5% | 29.1% | 14.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Scott Gittens | 64.7% | 26.1% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wiley | 4.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 29.0% | 32.0% | 11.3% |
| Zachary Baum | 2.7% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 23.8% | 38.4% | 17.1% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.5% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 69.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 10.2% | 23.7% | 33.0% | 21.9% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.