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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.51vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-0.50+0.84vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.13-0.90vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.55-2.36vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.92-2.61vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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3.84Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.1Queen's University0.130.1%1st Place
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2.64McGill University0.550.2%1st Place
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4.39Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.53Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 63.3% | 26.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Reynolds | 4.5% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 28.9% | 25.8% | 8.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.6% | 20.9% | 29.0% | 24.9% | 12.0% | 1.6% |
| John Wittmann | 17.4% | 30.5% | 29.1% | 17.1% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Peter Wiley | 2.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 40.9% | 16.9% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 15.9% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.