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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.53vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.55+0.64vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.13+0.10vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.92-0.71vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.50-2.10vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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2.64McGill University0.550.2%1st Place
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3.1Queen's University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.29Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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3.9Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.55Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 62.4% | 25.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Wittmann | 18.3% | 31.6% | 26.9% | 15.3% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.3% | 20.9% | 29.0% | 25.4% | 11.9% | 1.5% |
| Peter Wiley | 3.2% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 39.7% | 13.6% |
| James Reynolds | 4.1% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 28.7% | 26.2% | 9.9% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 14.8% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.