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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.89+0.52vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.13+1.09vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.92+0.27vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.50-2.20vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.55-4.23vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Queen's University1.890.6%1st Place
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3.09Queen's University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.27Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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3.8Hamilton College-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.77McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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5.54Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Gittens | 63.6% | 24.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 11.0% | 22.8% | 29.2% | 21.9% | 13.0% | 2.1% |
| Peter Wiley | 4.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 20.9% | 39.1% | 14.9% |
| James Reynolds | 5.7% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 29.7% | 26.7% | 6.7% |
| John Wittmann | 14.7% | 30.7% | 27.4% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 13.6% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.