Race 6A

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Oliver Jennings 10.1% 12.2% 14.4% 13.5% 16.9% 14.3% 9.8% 5.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Katelyn Guerrera 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 4.1% 7.4% 11.6% 17.5% 24.4% 24.3%
Tucker Adams 21.5% 20.8% 18.2% 16.2% 10.6% 7.1% 4.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjmain Berg 26.9% 21.0% 17.8% 14.5% 10.0% 5.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Makaretz 11.8% 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 13.7% 14.7% 11.4% 8.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Sarah Pollick 6.5% 7.7% 8.3% 10.5% 13.0% 13.6% 13.3% 13.2% 8.1% 4.6% 1.2%
Erik Verlage 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 5.2% 5.3% 10.2% 11.8% 17.2% 17.7% 15.5% 5.9%
Helaine Meyer 12.4% 13.5% 15.1% 14.7% 12.2% 11.0% 10.7% 7.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Estelle Beguin 4.3% 5.1% 4.7% 6.8% 9.4% 11.3% 16.4% 15.7% 14.9% 7.5% 3.9%
Molly Hermann 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 4.0% 5.8% 10.3% 16.6% 22.1% 31.6%
Philip Driscoll 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.4% 4.3% 6.4% 8.9% 15.5% 24.1% 32.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.