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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+0.68vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.39+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.16-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.26-0.28vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Indiana University1.1952.8%1st Place
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2.26Indiana University0.3924.9%1st Place
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2.76University of Notre Dame-0.1615.4%1st Place
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3.72University of Toledo-1.264.8%1st Place
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4.57Saint Mary's College-2.412.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 52.8% | 30.1% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 24.9% | 36.2% | 27.9% | 9.7% | 1.3% |
| Chris Mikesell | 15.4% | 21.7% | 37.3% | 22.2% | 3.4% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 4.8% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 47.8% | 21.6% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 17.1% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.