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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toronto3.13+0.47vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.89+0.50vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.13+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto0.65-1.94vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.92-2.84vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.55-5.87vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-2.25-4.56vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College-0.50-7.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47University of Toronto3.130.7%1st Place
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2.5Queen's University1.890.2%1st Place
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4.7Queen's University0.130.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Toronto0.650.1%1st Place
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6.16Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.13McGill University0.550.1%1st Place
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7.44Rochester Institute of Technology-2.250.0%1st Place
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5.55Hamilton College-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas West | 65.2% | 25.4% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 18.2% | 38.3% | 25.5% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 3.9% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 11.9% | 2.4% |
| Henryk Luczynski | 5.1% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 24.5% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Wiley | 0.8% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 38.5% | 15.1% |
| John Wittmann | 5.3% | 9.4% | 21.9% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Geraghty | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 13.7% | 73.3% |
| James Reynolds | 1.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 24.6% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.