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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Queen's University1.19-0.42vs Predicted
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5Queen's University-0.32-2.02vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.36-2.97vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-1.01-3.21vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-4.14vs Predicted
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9Hamilton College-3.37-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Queen's University1.190.6%1st Place
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2.98Queen's University-0.320.1%1st Place
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3.03McGill University-0.360.1%1st Place
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3.79Webb Institute-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.86Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.1%1st Place
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5.76Hamilton College-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 60.8% | 25.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hailey Schincariol | 14.0% | 25.2% | 25.5% | 20.9% | 13.2% | 1.2% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 13.2% | 23.0% | 26.0% | 24.1% | 12.6% | 1.1% |
| Muriel Weathers | 6.5% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 23.6% | 34.4% | 3.9% |
| Joel Yuhas | 5.1% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 24.6% | 32.0% | 6.7% |
| Elizabeth Ely | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 86.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.