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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+0.58vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.36-0.88vs Predicted
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5Queen's University-0.32-1.93vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-2.23-0.77vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-1.01-2.98vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Queen's University1.190.6%1st Place
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3.12McGill University-0.360.1%1st Place
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3.07Queen's University-0.320.1%1st Place
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5.23Hamilton College-2.230.0%1st Place
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4.02Webb Institute-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.97Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 61.2% | 24.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 14.0% | 22.3% | 24.2% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Hailey Schincariol | 13.2% | 22.9% | 26.2% | 21.5% | 13.6% | 2.6% |
| Nicole Papert | 1.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 61.9% |
| Muriel Weathers | 4.9% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 25.4% | 16.9% |
| Joel Yuhas | 5.6% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 28.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.