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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.19+0.72vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.36-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Toronto-1.58-0.58vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-2.46vs Predicted
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8Queen's University-0.32-4.47vs Predicted
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9University of Toronto-0.66-4.98vs Predicted
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12Hamilton College-2.23-5.58vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-2.54-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Queen's University1.190.6%1st Place
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3.58McGill University-0.360.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Toronto-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.54Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.1%1st Place
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3.53Queen's University-0.320.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Toronto-0.660.1%1st Place
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6.42Hamilton College-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.77Webb Institute-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wallace | 55.6% | 26.3% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Adams Tyshynski | 12.2% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Avery Schwarz | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 21.0% | 13.3% |
| Joel Yuhas | 6.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 3.4% |
| Hailey Schincariol | 11.5% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| David Chu | 7.9% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Nicole Papert | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 27.4% | 35.4% |
| Alexander Koziol | 0.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 13.0% | 26.0% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.