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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+2.17vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.28+0.83vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.99-1.00vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.31-1.31vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-2.35-1.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Syracuse University0.020.2%1st Place
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2.83Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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2.0Queen's University0.990.4%1st Place
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4.04Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.94Colgate University-2.350.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 16.2% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Chris Trentham | 20.9% | 23.6% | 24.1% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Josh Yale | 43.2% | 28.2% | 17.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Cochran | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 31.5% | 12.5% | 2.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 26.2% | 22.7% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Watts | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 45.2% | 34.8% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 26.3% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.