Race 8A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christian Manchester 9.8% 13.1% 13.1% 10.7% 9.8% 9.9% 8.6% 7.5% 5.0% 5.0% 3.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.5%
Elizabeth Barry 12.4% 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 9.9% 9.3% 10.8% 8.0% 5.0% 3.9% 2.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6%
Christopher Poole 4.3% 4.9% 4.6% 5.6% 7.7% 6.0% 6.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 10.5% 6.2% 6.6%
Peter Giuliano 2.4% 3.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.1% 7.1% 7.2% 5.5% 9.7% 8.1% 9.6% 11.1% 12.2% 8.3%
Ben Greenfield 12.1% 14.9% 14.8% 13.5% 10.4% 8.4% 8.5% 6.2% 5.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3%
Quentin Chafee 5.1% 6.0% 5.4% 5.9% 8.3% 9.2% 9.3% 9.2% 7.1% 10.2% 8.2% 6.4% 7.1% 2.6%
Billy Hines 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 5.6% 4.3% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 10.6% 14.4% 13.7%
Conor Lodge 4.5% 4.3% 6.9% 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 6.6% 7.7% 9.8% 8.0% 10.7% 7.5% 8.5% 6.2%
Reeve Dunne 3.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 5.4% 7.7% 7.9% 9.4% 11.0% 12.1% 12.2% 11.9%
Matthew Schon 6.7% 6.4% 6.5% 9.1% 8.4% 10.3% 9.5% 9.5% 8.9% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5% 4.0% 1.3%
Andrew Kurzrok 4.0% 3.7% 5.2% 4.5% 5.9% 7.7% 7.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 7.8% 7.8%
Graham Philpot 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 3.2% 2.5% 4.1% 4.7% 4.5% 8.0% 7.9% 11.8% 15.4% 30.3%
Will Pelleteri 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.2% 4.5% 6.5% 6.2% 8.8% 9.2% 9.8% 8.3% 10.3% 10.0% 9.9%
Samuel Ingham 28.2% 20.3% 15.6% 11.5% 9.7% 6.2% 3.4% 2.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.