Race 1B

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Shaya 8.4% 10.4% 16.6% 18.5% 17.8% 11.7% 8.1% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Mae Speight 25.4% 30.3% 22.3% 12.7% 6.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Krumeich 43.7% 28.8% 16.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephanie Roush 1.5% 1.9% 4.6% 5.9% 10.6% 11.2% 15.7% 13.1% 14.6% 15.1% 5.1% 0.7%
Lily Madeira 2.9% 3.8% 5.4% 9.0% 11.2% 12.8% 13.5% 16.3% 12.4% 8.7% 3.8% 0.2%
Iris Xu 7.5% 11.6% 15.2% 18.4% 15.9% 13.4% 9.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Liat Zabludovsky 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 5.3% 7.0% 10.2% 11.1% 13.6% 17.8% 16.3% 10.5% 1.0%
Eric Lenoir 4.0% 4.6% 7.8% 11.1% 11.6% 16.1% 14.2% 13.2% 8.7% 6.4% 2.1% 0.2%
Jesse Lang 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 2.2% 3.3% 5.1% 8.5% 11.1% 19.8% 40.6% 5.8%
Natalie Brady 2.9% 4.1% 6.0% 8.3% 10.7% 12.3% 14.8% 14.3% 13.9% 8.8% 3.7% 0.2%
Daniel Ulacco 1.3% 0.9% 1.8% 2.0% 3.3% 5.7% 6.9% 10.0% 14.8% 21.1% 27.7% 4.5%
Brad Coletta 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.8% 6.4% 87.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.