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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+0.71vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.39+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.16-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.26-0.25vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Indiana University1.1949.4%1st Place
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2.26Indiana University0.3926.6%1st Place
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2.71University of Notre Dame-0.1616.4%1st Place
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3.75University of Toledo-1.265.8%1st Place
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4.56Saint Mary's College-2.411.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 49.4% | 33.1% | 14.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 26.6% | 33.5% | 28.3% | 10.7% | 1.1% |
| Chris Mikesell | 16.4% | 23.5% | 35.7% | 20.9% | 3.4% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 5.8% | 7.2% | 15.9% | 47.9% | 23.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 17.8% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.