← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University0.99+1.00vs Predicted
-
2University of Rochester-0.31+1.60vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58+0.99vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University0.28-1.12vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University0.02-1.75vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy-2.96+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Colgate University-2.35-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0Queen's University0.990.4%1st Place
-
3.6University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
-
3.99Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
-
2.88Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
-
3.25Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
-
6.46U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
-
5.83Colgate University-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Yale | 44.3% | 26.8% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 11.1% | 14.7% | 19.0% | 23.3% | 23.4% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Douglas Cochran | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 21.7% | 29.5% | 13.0% | 1.6% |
| Chris Trentham | 20.9% | 23.0% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 13.6% | 21.4% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 24.8% | 65.7% |
| Jacob Watts | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 46.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.