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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.02+2.26vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.99+0.08vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.28-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.31-0.17vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.27-0.88vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-2.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Syracuse University0.020.2%1st Place
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2.08Queen's University0.990.4%1st Place
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2.99Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.12Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Sanders | 17.3% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Josh Yale | 40.9% | 29.9% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chris Trentham | 18.3% | 22.0% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 22.5% | 13.4% | 2.4% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 40.4% | 13.8% |
| Douglas Cochran | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 3.9% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 11.9% | 77.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.