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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.99+1.08vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.28+0.94vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02+0.32vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.31-1.18vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.27-0.92vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.96-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Queen's University0.990.4%1st Place
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2.94Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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3.32Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.22Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.08Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Yale | 43.4% | 25.7% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Trentham | 19.6% | 23.6% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Henry Sanders | 14.1% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Douglas Cochran | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 24.8% | 21.7% | 4.2% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 9.6% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 13.2% | 3.4% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 40.7% | 12.6% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.