← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.28+1.59vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University0.99-0.15vs Predicted
-
3University of Rochester-0.31+0.33vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-0.29vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-1.23-0.48vs Predicted
-
6Colgate University-2.35-0.22vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.59Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
-
1.85Queen's University0.990.5%1st Place
-
3.33University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
-
3.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
-
4.52Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.78Colgate University-2.350.0%1st Place
-
6.22U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 24.8% | 27.8% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Josh Yale | 47.0% | 30.9% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 11.6% | 17.4% | 26.4% | 22.3% | 16.4% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Douglas Cochran | 9.4% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 25.4% | 21.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 31.4% | 19.9% | 6.9% |
| Jacob Watts | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 38.7% | 32.7% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 24.5% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.