← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.28+1.60vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University-1.23+2.50vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University0.99-1.19vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-0.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Rochester-0.31-1.61vs Predicted
-
7Colgate University-2.35-1.23vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
-
4.5Syracuse University-1.230.1%1st Place
-
1.81Queen's University0.990.5%1st Place
-
3.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
-
3.39University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
-
5.77Colgate University-2.350.0%1st Place
-
6.22U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 23.0% | 29.8% | 22.3% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christian Palanza | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 20.2% | 30.9% | 20.2% | 6.1% |
| Josh Yale | 49.2% | 28.6% | 16.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Cochran | 8.7% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 25.1% | 21.4% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 11.5% | 16.8% | 24.8% | 24.1% | 15.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Watts | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 14.8% | 38.7% | 32.5% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 25.1% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.