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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.99+0.92vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.28+0.70vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.23+0.74vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.31-2.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.96-0.47vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.27-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Queen's University0.990.5%1st Place
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2.7Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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4.74Syracuse University-1.230.1%1st Place
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3.89Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
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4.71Colgate University-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Yale | 47.7% | 26.4% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chris Trentham | 21.7% | 28.8% | 21.8% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Christian Palanza | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 21.8% | 32.1% | 8.8% |
| Douglas Cochran | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 13.5% | 2.8% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 10.4% | 17.2% | 23.4% | 21.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 77.2% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 24.0% | 30.9% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.