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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.99+0.91vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.23+2.70vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.28-0.29vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-0.09vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.27-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.31-2.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Queen's University0.990.5%1st Place
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4.7Syracuse University-1.230.1%1st Place
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2.71Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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3.91Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.83Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Yale | 47.5% | 27.3% | 15.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christian Palanza | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 23.9% | 29.0% | 9.3% |
| Chris Trentham | 20.6% | 30.2% | 22.4% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Douglas Cochran | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 21.3% | 14.1% | 3.4% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 30.9% | 11.6% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 12.0% | 15.7% | 24.0% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 1.5% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.