← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Syracuse University0.28+1.95vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University0.99+0.08vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University0.55-0.46vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester-0.31-0.38vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-0.98vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.95Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
-
2.08Queen's University0.990.4%1st Place
-
2.54Syracuse University0.550.3%1st Place
-
3.62University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
-
4.02Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
-
5.79U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 17.2% | 23.0% | 24.1% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 1.3% |
| Josh Yale | 41.5% | 26.2% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Warner | 25.1% | 27.3% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 8.8% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 25.1% | 30.8% | 2.5% |
| Douglas Cochran | 6.9% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 24.8% | 38.6% | 7.3% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 7.4% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.