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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.99+1.13vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.55+0.56vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.28-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.31-0.39vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-1.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.96-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Queen's University0.990.4%1st Place
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2.56Syracuse University0.550.3%1st Place
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2.9Syracuse University0.280.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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4.0Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Yale | 36.9% | 31.0% | 18.0% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Warner | 26.7% | 24.4% | 24.0% | 16.3% | 7.9% | 0.7% |
| Chris Trentham | 19.0% | 20.6% | 24.9% | 23.7% | 10.8% | 1.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 10.3% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 24.3% | 31.1% | 2.6% |
| Douglas Cochran | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 23.0% | 39.7% | 7.1% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 7.2% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.