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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.99+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.31+1.19vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.21+1.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.96+2.51vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.72-1.14vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-2.37vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.27-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Queen's University0.990.5%1st Place
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3.19University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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4.54Syracuse University-1.210.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
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3.86Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.52Colgate University-1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Yale | 54.0% | 26.3% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 14.1% | 23.7% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Anna Strait | 5.5% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 27.9% | 8.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 11.9% | 75.9% |
| Dane Brazinski | 8.5% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 3.0% |
| Douglas Cochran | 11.0% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 3.0% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 27.2% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.