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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+0.58vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.39+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.16-0.49vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Indiana University1.1955.5%1st Place
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2.08Indiana University0.3927.8%1st Place
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2.51University of Notre Dame-0.1615.1%1st Place
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3.82Saint Mary's College-2.411.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 55.5% | 31.3% | 12.3% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 27.8% | 39.6% | 29.3% | 3.2% |
| Chris Mikesell | 15.1% | 25.9% | 51.7% | 7.3% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 88.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.