Race 2B

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Krumeich 45.2% 28.1% 16.1% 6.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iris Xu 6.0% 12.3% 17.1% 16.1% 16.5% 13.8% 9.3% 5.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Mae Speight 28.1% 28.6% 21.0% 12.6% 6.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Shaya 6.8% 12.1% 17.1% 18.8% 16.7% 12.3% 9.0% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Lenoir 3.0% 5.0% 7.4% 10.7% 13.3% 13.5% 14.9% 12.0% 11.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.0%
Natalie Brady 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 8.9% 10.0% 13.4% 14.0% 15.0% 15.4% 8.9% 2.8% 0.2%
Stephanie Roush 2.3% 3.3% 4.6% 6.9% 8.6% 10.9% 14.0% 14.1% 14.1% 14.7% 6.3% 0.2%
Jesse Lang 0.4% 0.4% 1.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 8.2% 9.6% 18.2% 40.2% 7.7%
Lily Madeira 2.8% 2.9% 5.0% 9.4% 12.4% 14.2% 16.5% 14.8% 10.5% 8.2% 3.1% 0.2%
Liat Zabludovsky 1.3% 2.9% 3.3% 5.7% 6.1% 8.5% 9.6% 16.4% 17.8% 16.2% 11.3% 0.9%
Daniel Ulacco 1.2% 1.1% 1.3% 1.8% 4.0% 5.7% 6.4% 9.0% 15.2% 23.4% 27.0% 3.9%
Brad Coletta 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 2.3% 6.9% 86.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.