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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.99+0.75vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.72+1.81vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.31-1.76vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.27-1.35vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.21-2.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Queen's University0.990.5%1st Place
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3.81Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.64Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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4.65Colgate University-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.53Syracuse University-1.210.1%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Yale | 53.1% | 28.1% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dane Brazinski | 10.1% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 21.0% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 3.6% |
| Douglas Cochran | 10.1% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 3.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 14.9% | 20.9% | 22.8% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 1.0% |
| Skylar Jeveli | 4.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 27.9% | 10.7% |
| Anna Strait | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 26.7% | 9.2% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.