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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.31+2.05vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.99-0.30vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.72+0.60vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.21+0.30vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-1.51vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-2.35-0.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Rochester-0.310.2%1st Place
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1.7Queen's University0.990.6%1st Place
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3.6Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.3Syracuse University-1.210.1%1st Place
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3.49Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.69Colgate University-2.350.0%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kilcullen | 16.3% | 24.6% | 22.5% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Josh Yale | 55.7% | 26.9% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 9.6% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 8.5% | 1.9% |
| Anna Strait | 5.6% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 29.0% | 18.2% | 5.2% |
| Douglas Cochran | 9.7% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Watts | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 36.8% | 32.4% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 24.0% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.