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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58+2.41vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.99-0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.31+0.09vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.21+0.30vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.72-1.34vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-2.35-0.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-2.96-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.1%1st Place
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1.68Queen's University0.990.6%1st Place
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3.09University of Rochester-0.310.1%1st Place
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4.3Syracuse University-1.210.1%1st Place
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3.66Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.69Colgate University-2.350.0%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Cochran | 12.1% | 19.5% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Josh Yale | 56.3% | 27.2% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 14.8% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 21.2% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Anna Strait | 5.5% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 30.6% | 17.1% | 5.3% |
| Dane Brazinski | 8.3% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Jacob Watts | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 37.3% | 32.2% |
| Simone Woolley | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 23.4% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.