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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.55vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-1.85+1.74vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-0.02vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.81-0.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.71-0.12vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.86-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Queen's University0.940.6%1st Place
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2.5Syracuse University-0.160.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
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3.98Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.69Syracuse University-1.810.0%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.65Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 61.8% | 25.4% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 19.7% | 38.1% | 23.5% | 12.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 24.2% | 15.1% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 4.9% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 23.1% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 5.4% |
| Lucas Fox | 3.5% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 15.1% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 51.0% |
| Benjamin Parker | 4.2% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 23.9% | 22.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.