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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.55vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.50vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+0.98vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.71+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.85-0.24vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.81-2.35vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.86-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Queen's University0.940.6%1st Place
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2.5Syracuse University-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.98Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
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4.65Syracuse University-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.65Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 61.7% | 25.9% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 19.6% | 39.3% | 21.8% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 6.4% | 11.7% | 22.4% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 6.1% |
| Clara Bartram | 0.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 50.0% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 3.5% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 15.8% |
| Lucas Fox | 4.0% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 13.9% |
| Benjamin Parker | 4.2% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 22.4% | 21.8% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.