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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.54vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.49vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-1.86+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.85+0.82vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-1.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.71-0.15vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.81-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Queen's University0.940.6%1st Place
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2.49Syracuse University-0.160.2%1st Place
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4.76Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
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3.98Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.55Syracuse University-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 62.7% | 25.1% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 19.9% | 38.5% | 22.4% | 12.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Parker | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 24.1% | 15.2% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 1.9% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 16.5% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 5.9% | 11.7% | 23.1% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.4% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 49.5% |
| Lucas Fox | 4.2% | 8.3% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.