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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.48vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.81+1.17vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.58+1.30vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-0.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.71-0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.85-2.34vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.86-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Queen's University0.940.7%1st Place
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3.17Syracuse University-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.3Syracuse University-1.580.1%1st Place
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3.9Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
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4.6Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 65.7% | 24.3% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Smith | 11.5% | 26.9% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Miranda Burford | 5.7% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 10.2% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 6.0% | 17.3% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 5.2% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 53.0% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 4.5% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 17.3% |
| Benjamin Parker | 4.9% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 20.6% | 23.7% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.