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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.46vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.81+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.85+0.72vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.86-0.24vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.58-1.69vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-3.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.71-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Queen's University0.940.7%1st Place
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3.15Syracuse University-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.72University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
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4.76Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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4.31Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.85Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 67.2% | 23.2% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Smith | 12.1% | 26.4% | 23.7% | 20.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 21.3% | 16.8% |
| Benjamin Parker | 2.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 21.0% | 22.6% | 16.6% |
| Miranda Burford | 4.7% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 19.0% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 7.3% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 5.6% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.