← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University0.94+0.45vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University-0.81+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+0.91vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-1.58+0.32vs Predicted
-
5Colgate University-1.86-0.27vs Predicted
-
7University of Rochester-1.85-2.32vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Military Academy-2.71-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.45Queen's University0.940.7%1st Place
-
3.16Syracuse University-0.810.1%1st Place
-
3.91Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
-
4.32Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
-
4.73Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
-
4.68University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
-
5.75U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 67.5% | 23.1% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Smith | 11.9% | 26.3% | 24.2% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 7.2% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Miranda Burford | 3.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 9.3% |
| Benjamin Parker | 3.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 23.5% | 16.5% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 4.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 20.3% | 16.8% |
| Clara Bartram | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.