Race 3B

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mae Speight 25.7% 28.9% 22.9% 12.3% 5.8% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Krumeich 44.6% 29.8% 15.7% 6.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Lenoir 3.7% 4.8% 6.4% 8.2% 12.0% 12.4% 15.8% 13.4% 9.4% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2%
Natalie Brady 1.5% 3.4% 5.4% 8.0% 11.3% 13.1% 13.6% 12.9% 9.8% 12.1% 6.7% 2.2%
Iris Xu 8.2% 9.6% 15.1% 19.0% 15.1% 12.8% 8.5% 4.9% 4.4% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Shaya 7.8% 12.3% 14.8% 18.7% 15.8% 12.6% 9.2% 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Daniel Ulacco 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 6.1% 6.8% 7.9% 10.7% 13.1% 21.6% 23.3%
Lily Madeira 2.5% 3.6% 6.5% 8.6% 10.0% 12.4% 11.6% 15.2% 13.5% 7.4% 5.5% 3.2%
Liat Zabludovsky 1.8% 1.3% 3.0% 5.4% 6.9% 8.5% 9.6% 13.6% 16.3% 13.4% 13.6% 6.6%
Emily Donnery 0.8% 1.6% 3.2% 3.9% 5.4% 6.2% 8.5% 9.6% 13.0% 15.6% 18.2% 14.0%
Stephanie Roush 2.0% 2.4% 4.0% 4.8% 9.5% 9.9% 11.3% 12.8% 12.2% 15.5% 9.2% 6.4%
Jesse Lang 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 7.9% 12.1% 19.7% 43.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.