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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+0.59vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.39+0.09vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.16-0.50vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Indiana University1.1954.5%1st Place
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2.09Indiana University0.3927.5%1st Place
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2.5University of Notre Dame-0.1616.6%1st Place
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3.82Saint Mary's College-2.411.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nithya Balachander | 54.5% | 32.9% | 11.9% | 0.7% |
Bryce Lesinski | 27.5% | 39.5% | 30.0% | 3.0% |
Chris Mikesell | 16.6% | 24.6% | 50.6% | 8.2% |
Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.4% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.