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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.81+2.13vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.94-0.54vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.58+1.29vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.85-1.25vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.86-2.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-2.71-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Syracuse University-0.810.1%1st Place
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1.46Queen's University0.940.7%1st Place
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4.29Syracuse University-1.580.1%1st Place
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3.92Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
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4.72Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Smith | 12.2% | 28.9% | 22.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Sullivan | 67.4% | 22.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Burford | 5.6% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 6.4% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 5.2% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 3.3% | 7.2% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 22.4% | 16.9% |
| Benjamin Parker | 3.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 16.9% |
| Clara Bartram | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.