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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.45vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+1.89vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.81+0.21vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-1.86+0.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.71-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.85-2.29vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.58-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Queen's University0.940.7%1st Place
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3.89Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.21Syracuse University-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.78Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Rochester-1.850.0%1st Place
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4.12Syracuse University-1.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 68.6% | 21.1% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 6.7% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 5.8% |
| Charlotte Smith | 9.9% | 27.8% | 23.5% | 19.5% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Parker | 2.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 24.6% | 15.9% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 51.1% |
| Rebecca Saubermann | 4.2% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 17.8% |
| Miranda Burford | 6.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 22.1% | 15.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.