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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.49vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+1.62vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.16-0.60vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.58-0.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.71+0.22vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.86-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Queen's University0.940.6%1st Place
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3.62Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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2.4Syracuse University-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.96Syracuse University-1.580.1%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.31Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 64.0% | 25.9% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 5.7% | 14.7% | 26.8% | 25.0% | 20.2% | 7.6% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 20.9% | 38.7% | 24.4% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Burford | 5.1% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 28.8% | 25.2% | 12.3% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.2% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 59.9% |
| Benjamin Parker | 3.1% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 32.0% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.