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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.52vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.40vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29+0.58vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.58-1.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.71-0.76vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.86-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Queen's University0.940.6%1st Place
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2.4Syracuse University-0.160.2%1st Place
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3.58Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.96Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.3Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 62.5% | 26.3% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 21.5% | 39.0% | 22.8% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 7.6% | 13.0% | 27.4% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 6.8% |
| Miranda Burford | 3.9% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 28.4% | 25.5% | 12.0% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.0% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 60.6% |
| Benjamin Parker | 3.5% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 31.5% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.