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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.94+0.51vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.16+0.39vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-1.86+1.25vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.29-0.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.71+0.23vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.58-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.51Queen's University0.940.6%1st Place
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2.39Syracuse University-0.160.2%1st Place
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4.25Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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3.65Rochester Institute of Technology-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.97Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Sullivan | 63.2% | 25.2% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 21.5% | 38.9% | 24.2% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Parker | 4.3% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 23.1% | 30.2% | 19.6% |
| Benjamin Wilson | 5.3% | 13.8% | 25.7% | 27.7% | 20.9% | 6.6% |
| Clara Bartram | 1.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 18.7% | 60.0% |
| Miranda Burford | 4.7% | 10.2% | 20.5% | 25.9% | 25.6% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.