Race 1A

chris-loder

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Lenz 16.9% 17.4% 13.6% 14.1% 9.3% 9.5% 8.6% 5.6% 4.0% 1.0%
Peter Galloway 7.4% 5.7% 7.3% 8.7% 8.8% 10.7% 12.1% 13.1% 14.4% 11.8%
Jennifer Killian 12.8% 14.2% 12.3% 12.0% 13.4% 12.3% 9.5% 7.3% 4.3% 1.9%
Brian Hayes 3.8% 5.1% 6.4% 7.2% 7.6% 8.5% 12.6% 14.8% 16.7% 17.3%
Lera Anders 10.8% 11.1% 12.1% 12.2% 12.2% 11.8% 10.2% 9.2% 7.0% 3.4%
William Crane 9.4% 7.9% 7.8% 8.3% 11.7% 11.0% 11.1% 13.9% 11.7% 7.2%
Peter Schneider 19.2% 17.7% 18.2% 14.1% 11.2% 8.2% 5.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
Braden Foster 10.9% 13.0% 11.9% 11.1% 11.2% 12.4% 10.4% 8.6% 6.6% 3.9%
Nathan Drezner 5.8% 4.8% 6.7% 7.6% 7.8% 10.1% 11.5% 13.0% 17.0% 15.7%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 4.7% 6.8% 5.5% 8.1% 10.9% 16.9% 37.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.