Race 2A

chris-loder

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlotte Lenz 15.1% 17.9% 13.5% 13.8% 11.3% 9.5% 8.3% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9%
Jennifer Killian 13.7% 13.6% 13.8% 13.6% 12.4% 11.1% 8.3% 7.2% 5.1% 1.2%
Peter Galloway 6.8% 7.0% 6.4% 7.5% 8.6% 11.4% 11.9% 14.0% 14.7% 11.7%
Peter Schneider 19.3% 18.7% 16.0% 13.4% 13.2% 7.7% 5.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
William Crane 9.5% 7.3% 8.7% 9.1% 10.0% 11.1% 13.3% 12.1% 10.7% 8.2%
Braden Foster 12.1% 11.1% 11.0% 11.7% 12.8% 11.5% 10.4% 8.7% 6.2% 4.5%
Nathan Drezner 4.5% 5.0% 7.3% 6.5% 8.7% 11.2% 11.2% 14.9% 15.0% 15.7%
Brian Hayes 4.8% 5.6% 8.0% 6.1% 7.4% 8.3% 11.2% 13.9% 18.6% 16.1%
Lera Anders 11.3% 10.7% 11.0% 14.3% 9.9% 11.9% 11.3% 8.3% 7.8% 3.5%
Nicholas Leshaw 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 4.0% 5.7% 6.3% 8.6% 11.9% 16.6% 36.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.